Single-family home sales in Santa Clara County were up 17.4% year over year in February 2026, with the sale-price-to-list-price ratio rising from 103.4% to 105.7%. That means sellers are routinely walking away with more than they asked. There are only 670 single-family homes currently listed in the county, compared to a historical average of 2,703, and it takes just 8 days from listing to contract. That's an exceptionally thin supply. When inventory is that low and homes are selling above asking in under three weeks, sellers hold the power.
For buyers: Spring has brought more listings than earlier in the year, and rates have edged down from their 2024 peak. The window is real, but you need to be prepared to move quickly and competitively. You should not start home shopping unless you have already been pre-approved, and preferably fully underwritten.
The honest answer is: it depends on what you're buying.
The median sales price for single-family resale homes in Santa Clara County was up 1% compared to last year, with an average sale price of $2,504,500. Condo prices, however, dropped 17.1% year over year, with a median of $955,000.
So the market is not moving in one direction. Single-family homes, especially in desirable pockets, are holding firm or appreciating. The condo segment has softened meaningfully, which actually creates opportunity for buyers in that category. Zillow currently pegs the average Santa Clara County home value at $1,567,930, down 1.6% over the past year, with homes going pending in around 17 days Zillow, reflecting the blended effect across all property types.
The key takeaway for clients: don't let a headline number make the decision for you. A detached home in Almaden or Evergreen is a very different market than a condo in downtown San Jose.
Rates are lower than last year, but don't expect a dramatic drop anytime soon.
According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.46% as of April 2, 2026, up slightly from 6.38% the prior week but still below the 6.64% average from a year ago. Freddie Mac
Fannie Mae projects 30-year fixed rates could drop to between 5.7% and 5.9% by year-end, while the Mortgage Bankers Association takes a more cautious stance, expecting rates to remain above 6% through much of 2026 due to ongoing inflationary pressures.
So far in 2026, the 30-year fixed rate has moved between 5.98% and 6.46%, and we may have already seen the peak of this rate cycle. The Mortgage Reports
The practical advice: if you find the right home and the numbers work at today's rate, don't hold out for a rate that may not arrive on your timeline. You can always refinance when rates improve.
For single-family homes in good locations: very likely yes.
The sales-price-to-list-price ratio for single-family homes is currently 105.7%, and it takes only 21 days for a home to go under contract. That tells you demand is outpacing supply, and well-priced homes are drawing multiple offers.
The market is rewarding sellers who treat their listing like a product launch, particularly in high-demand areas. Winning offers in 2026 are often less about overpaying and more about certainty: clean terms, strong financing, and smart negotiation.
For buyers, the strategy shift is important. It's not always the highest price that wins. A clean offer with solid financing, few contingencies, and a flexible close date can beat a higher offer with complications.
For condos, competition is calmer. The condo sale-price-to-list-price ratio has risen to 102.8% from 100%, suggesting even that segment is picking up momentum but buyers still have more breathing room there.
This one is deeply personal, but the market data right now makes a compelling case for acting proactively.
Common triggers for seniors to downsize include retirement, becoming empty nesters, or finding the current home too large or difficult to manage. For Bay Area homeowners, another trigger is seeing home values and thinking about cashing out equity while the market is favorable, and it is often wise not to wait for an emergency, like a fall or inability to drive, to force the decision.
Here's the financial case in Santa Clara County right now: single-family home values remain near historic highs. Inventory is at a fraction of its historical average, which means well-prepared homes are still attracting strong buyer demand. If you've owned your home for 10, 20, or 30-plus years, you've accumulated significant equity, and California's Proposition 19 means you can transfer your property tax base to a replacement home anywhere in the state, preserving the tax advantage you've built.
The window where you can sell into a strong market and still have reasonable options on the other side is open today. Waiting for a "perfect" moment rarely works in your favor, especially when your comfort, safety, and quality of life are part of the equation.